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Baker and Jackson in lead Former Del. Rushern L. Baker III and County Sheriff Michael A. Jackson are the clear front runners so far in the Prince George County executive race, according to independent polls, but contenders point out that about one third of the county voters remain undecided. In Baker poll, conducted in mid July, 32 percent of residents said they either planned to vote for him or were leaning that way, and Jackson had 23 percent. In Jackson poll, conducted in late June and early July, the sheriff led with 32 percent of support, according to Jackson campaign staff, who declined to provide polling documents. According to Jackson staff, Baker support level was 24 percent in their poll, with a 4 percent margin of error. Both polls also state that about 30 percent of likely voters have not decided on any candidate to succeed County Executive Jack B. Johnson (D), who is prevented by term limits from seeking re election. The other three contenders for the post County Councilman Samuel H. Dean (D Dist. 6) of Mitchellville, Del. Gerron S. Levi (D Dist. 23A) of Bowie and retired businessman Henry C. Turner Jr. of Upper Marlboro, all shared the remaining supporters, according to both polls. Dean led the trio in Baker poll. All of the contenders are Democrats, and no Republican is running for the spot, meaning the victor in the Sept. 14 primary will likely win the Nov. 2 general election. Baker and Jackson campaign staff members, who confidentially provided their polling data, said they expect the race to come down to a close vote among Democrats, as it was in 2006 when Johnson defeated Baker by 5,098 votes in the primary election. Other contenders for the post said the polls show no one has an easy ride in the election at this point. still an open race, said Jim Pringle, campaign manager for Dean, when told about the results. candidates [Baker and Jackson] have extreme baggage that can be exploited. agreed, noting that the polls can be misleading. The county has more than 332,000 registered Democrats and more than 100,000 people have come out consistently on primary day in the county since 1998. Baker poll questioned 603 likely voters, and Jackson poll questioned 650, which combined still make up less than half a percent of all the county registered Democrats. the ground, in terms of speaking to actual voters, I find the majority are really undecided, Levi said. voters are still persuadable. and Pringle each said their campaigns have not held any polls and warned that their competitors surveys should be considered suspect. Turner could not be reached for comment. Baker and Jackson both declined to comment on their polling data. Lee declined to comment on his polling when reached, but confirmed he had done research for Jackson. A Baker spokesman confirmed the Greenberg data. Each survey used different methods to ask questions. Baker poll asked participants to rank their feelings about each candidate and answer multiple choice questions on voting habits. The summary of Jackson poll states his approval rankings were recorded after pollsters the issues and profiles for more than 30 minutes with 650 voters. Specific questions asked in Jackson poll were not provided to The Gazette. Levi and others said Jackson approach was more of a poll, which they said biases the final results. isn like a newspaper or Gallup poll, Levi said. give selective, favorable information about the preferred candidate. campaign staff declined to comment on the polling methodology. The impact an endorsement from Johnson could have on the executive race is still unclear. Johnson is not seeking any office this election and has declined to endorse a successor. Baker has lost twice in his bid for the seat against Johnson, and the outgoing executive top staff members are frequently seen supporting Jackson at campaign events. In Baker poll, 41 percent of all voters ranked Johnson as positive on the likeability scale in the poll. Among black voters, 50 percent said they had warm feelings about the departing executive; 22 percent of white voters gave Johnson positive rankings. In another part of the survey, 8 percent of respondents said Johnson has done an job as executive. About 59 percent said his job leading the county has been fair or according to the survey.
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